Owner Expectations Meet
Market Reality
Owner Expectation
A manufacturing business with approximately $7 to $8 million in annual revenue and decades of operating history. The current owner had operated the business for approximately ten years and was beginning to explore a potential sale. The owner believed the business was worth approximately twice what market analysis supported. That expectation was anchored to years of personal effort, informal feedback from a broker, and stories of other businesses selling at high multiples.
Market Reality
Structured valuation analysis including discounted cash flow modeling and market EBITDA multiples told a very different story. The gap was not driven by revenue. It was driven by structural risks that would suppress the valuation multiple in the eyes of any sophisticated buyer. Those risks included operational inconsistency, lack of financial visibility, and delivery risk.